Ah, something to which I might speak somewhat intelligently.
Due to Taliban strong-arming, remoteness, and gender inequality, broad swaths of Afghanistan’s population will not have access to polls. Many will not vote out of fear or apathy or disillusionment. Those from Karzai’s tribe will certainly have the strongest sense of enfranchisement. And let’s not forget the pervasiveness of corruption.
My guess on the voter intentions poll: it does not accurately represent the whole of the Afghan public. My guess on the election: Karzai in the first round.
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